So the site will only charge us $0. PolyMarket is an “information markets platform” that allows traders to use the Polygon blockchain to make bets on the outcome of events. One of the highest courts in the country agrees that in 2014 PredictIt was issued a. PredictIt is operating under an academic exemption, too, but it has had to fight to retain it. No. PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. Although numerous bookmakers. at the University of Iowa. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than. Feb/11/2023. Why did the CFTC withdraw its permission for PredictIt? The CFTC’s conditions included limiting any contract to 5,000 traders and an $850 investment per trade, that the market would only be used. Follow the latest trends, insights and analysis from PredictIt's community of traders and experts. The system delivers both the crowd’s prediction and, like the Delphi technique, allows forecasters to consider their own thinking in the light of other. He’d look for anything weird—usually something like suspiciously high odds that a Democrat would be indicted. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. ”. Touch upon this story Remark In 2016, Jason Pipkin was working in a biology lab at Brandeis College, authoring papers with titles corresponding to “Mapping the thoughts of a fly,” when he first heard of PredictIt. If the outcome takes place, the yes shares are redeemed for $1 and the no shares expire worthless. Low $850 cap on maximum position in a contract. Yale astrophysicist Greg Laughlin launched the site a year ago with physicist Anthony Aguirre of the University of California-Santa Cruz and their former postdoc Max Wainwright. PredictItIn the 2014 PredictIt approval letter, 3 the CFTC analyzed the applicant’s facts and circumstances and based approval on conditions such as capping investment and trading volumes, being operated. PredictIt told its U. Just two years before PredictIt broke onto the scene, the CFTC denied a proposal to launch similar political event contracts from the Northern American Derivatives Exchange, in part over concerns. PredictIt: . PredictIt Alternatives TradeFair. Lemmy. Today’s top 5 Predictit jobs in United States. Bitcoin. [laughter] Alright, so PredictIt is what’s called a prediction market. Welcome to PredictZ! PredictZ provides free football tips and predictions, free analysis, football form and statistics, the latest results and league tables and much more. txt. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than using in general. org News and Media website This domain provided by whois. S. 44-2. On the website PredictIt, people can place bets — with real US dollars — on big political events. That’s the draw of a site called PredictIt, where users like Jon Kimball can place live bets on the results of elections. PredictIt works by having users buy shares in a given candidate’s likelihood of reaching a certain outcome while running for office, somewhat similar to the stock market. PredictIt Alternatives TradeFair. org. was running it; that a subsidiary of the university was receiving compensation from Aristotle, despite the university promising not to profit from the site; and that the site had reneged on its agreement to only take bets on two. 2. A decision on the future of Victoria University’s political betting site PredictIt remains in the balance as the Fifth Circuit court agrees to allow it to keep trading for a bit longer. 01 to $0. TOP LINE Politics is full of bold, outlandish predictions. Commodity Futures Trading. Like Wright in Texas, Carey has made a significant effort to play up his connections to Trump, and his endorsement. $1,589. Leverage your professional network, and get hired. These are just two examples of the larger narrative, which is that betting markets have continued to. Unlike those betting sites, PredictIt operates in a similar manner to the Iowa Electronic Markets (IEM), offering investors the opportunity to trade predictions on the outcomes of a wide variety of political events. Santos didn’t just like watching the demigods who inhabited that world; he had dreams of that kind of fame for himself. PredictIt 65. Automatically choose best models (ARIMA,. 9% higher probability on PredictIt than FiveThirtyEight. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Produced by ElevenLabs and NOA, News Over Audio, using AI narration. In order to enable researchers to take advantage of the opportunities presented by prediction markets, we make our data available to the academic community at no cost. Analyze any website or app. PredictIt and Victoria University use the results from the market for statistical analysis, market theory, and trader psychology, and as supporting data for research papers and analyses. "Overall, I put about $60,000 into PredictIt," said Trevor Boeckmann. Since anyone can use PredictIt, there’s no reason to think one user is better than another. New research shows that the best way to improve. org. provider of data processing and verification services. com election betting odds by maxim lott and john stossel live betting odds on the 2024 presidential election, and more! who will win? biden, trump, harris, desantis?. Candidate. What I don't like about PredictIt is that they charge 5% on withdrawals plus other. S. PredictIt: The Closing of a Prediction Market. save. Advertisement Harry Crane is a professor of statistics at Rutgers. In that case, our account is credited with the lowest such profit. Business Services · District of Columbia, United States · <25 Employees. 436 / 1 day. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. It’s like a stock market where you buy and sell $1 winner- take- all shares, where two people…Headquarters Location. Analyze websites like predictit. But PredictIt also allows for those with inside knowledge of future. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the most predicted political events and outcomes. Interactive periodic table showing names, electrons, and oxidation states. Whether it is U. PredictIt is hoping its 2024 election night goes much smoother than it did on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. 99 each) have traded on the presidential election market. Site: PredictIt. Frontpage. A federal court is allowing PredictIt to keep its political futures markets online while it pursues litigation against a federal agency trying to shut the site down. Predictit takes 10% of all your winnings plus 5% of all your withdrawals. The site seems to do things by the book, as they have operated successfully under a no-action letter from the CFTC. 12K subscribers in the Augur community. By order of the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals, PredictIt and its co-plaintiffs will have their case heard in District Court, and the political futures market may continue to operate until it concludes. Posted on: August 4, 2022, 08:27h. The only such market of any size in the U. Oz holds a 57% chance at 538 of beating John Fetterman, but is a 59% favorite at PolyMarket, and an even bigger . You're one click away from the most comprehensive, unmatched analyst expertise in tech, in-depth private company data and a platform that brings it all together. Unlike the prices in. AD Users are able to bet on events, such as 2024 nominations for president and whether marijuana becomes federally rescheduled this year, using bank deposits or a credit card, but PredictIt also accepts cryptocurrency. Political betting site fights regulators. 69 for Republicans to winThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission has ordered that PredictIt, a popular political betting site, shut down by mid-February 2023. When/if PredictIt's odds become more efficient and get close to 100%, this site's main page will include the odds. Do you think your real competition will come from new sites or existing ones like PredictIt? Cardenas: PredictIt took the same legal approach as Intrade, except they obtained a letter of “No. PredictItPredictIt tax treatment. org competitors and alternatives. Consequential issues, […](Disclaimers: I work in the financial industry, though not in a way related to prediction markets. C. More than 19 million shares were traded on the House speaker question leading up to McCarthy’s ultimate ascension this. Products. Books we like: "Give Me A Break" By John Stossel "Signal and the Noise" By Nate Silver "The Scout Mindset" By Julia Galef "Radical" By Maajid Nawaz "In Order To Live" By Yeonmi Park: About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minuteIn bet-capped places like predictit, this can make equilibrium that are different from optimal, because there are non-monetary incentives at work. I've never done sports betting before, but want to make a bet on one of the PredictIt politics elections (I view this as a way of hedging. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Why you won’t always find a working coupon codes at PredictIt. Many of PredictIt’s markets focus on political outcomes, like midterm results or the presidential race. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. In other words, wisdom of the forecasting elite. Learn more. Even if the CFTC follows through on its initial decision to shut the site down, it’s hard not to feel that PredictIt has, in some more. 15. Although prediction markets can work well, they don’t always. Learn how PredictIt works, how to join the community, and how to access the latest news, analysis, and insights from PredictIt's experts and partners. T. PredictIt currently charges a 10% fee on profits made by buying and selling shares to cover the site's operating costs, and there is an $850 limit on how much of any. But PredictIt also allows for those with inside knowledge of future. org. PredictIt remains highly regulated and constrained by the terms of its agreement with the CFTC: Users can’t trade more than $850 on an individual bet, and there can be no more than 5,000 traders. PREDICT meaning: 1. Many of PredictIt’s markets focus on political outcomes, like midterm results or the presidential race. Augur is working but last time I checked transaction fees were pretty high, so volume/liquidity was very small, it should improve in the near future especially if Ethereum transition to PoS (I also plan to start trading on Augur). There are a few places where you can "place bets" or "buy shares" in current events such as electoral results, polling, Supreme Court decisions, etc…Other prediction markets have faced similar regulatory scrutiny. S. A judge ruled that PredictIt can continue operating until a final decision is made in that case, despite the CFTC’s efforts to shut it down. Senate election in Pennsylvania in 2022. . If the predicted outcome does not take place, the no shares are. (Christopher. UPDATED Nov. Who will win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election? Find out the latest odds and trends on PredictIt, the stock market for politics. Political betting site PredictIt to shut down after CFTC withdraws approval ( predictit. PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. Follow PredictZ. 6. There are tens of thousands of PredictIt traders with modest investments and quality research done by more than 200 academic research partners that rely on the use of the site's anonymized data. In Virginia, it had Youngkin up to 60% when the media was still calling it tossup to tilt D. "The most heeded futurists these days are not individuals, but prediction markets, where the informed guesswork of many is consolidated into hard probabilities. 1. Two of the sites that Election Betting Odds pulls from — Betfair and Smarkets — showed DeSantis holding a substantial lead over Trump, with the Florida governor coming in at 27 percent to 27. 4. I am using turbotax to prepare my taxes, and after entering it into the proper section, it wants to list it as business income (schedule c). org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. 2024 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker. The betting odds website "PredictIt" is a joke (Original post) Talking Tom: Mar 2019: OP: Betting markets have proven accuracy. org after the election, but I was unable to join since I don't live in. A world-leading political predictions market led by a New Zealand university is set to close its doors after American regulators concluded it was breaching its terms of operation. 99 per share. ; Users on the site place "yes" or "no" bets on popular political predictions, like President. Predictit. PredictItPredictIt is a prediction market that allows you to trade on the outcomes of political and social events. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. Specifically, we examine trading data from PredictIt, which is a prediction market exchange that provides many markets linked to political issues, ranging from ongoing policy outcomes to political. F. Fortunately, they made an exception for PredictIt. 4: Professional election forecasters. PredictIt, the political. Analyze websites like predictit. org top alternatives and find potential or emerging competitors. Trump is back on top in PredictIt's Republican nomination. No Bitcoin support. Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to justify the forced wind down in. PredictIt remains highly regulated and constrained by the terms of its agreement with the CFTC: Users can’t trade more than $850 on an individual bet, and there can be no more than 5,000 traders. One of the highest courts in. PredictIt told its U. No Bitcoin support. 35 shortly after his launch to $0. “Florida legislator asks if a site like @PredictIt would be illegal in the state under Compact. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. It sounds like fun, but is it all sunshine and roses? We have the answers in our. The Biggest Horse Race, IV Trump Indicted EditionPredictIt takes a certain percentage of any gains when contracts are sold or settled & takes a percentage of money withdrawn from the site & that is their source of revenues. My position is: I've been meaning to. A maximum of $850 in betting per person per contract ( not per market) A substantial house cut of 10% on profits and 5% on withdrawals. Embed Package Health Score Badge. Predictit's top competitors include Kalshi, Consensus Point, and Augur. Per PredictIt’s no-action letter, PredictIt users cannot make more than $850 in any position. High fees on profits and withdrawals. BetOnline also has Trump at +160 but Biden at a shorter -180, with money coming in on. PredictIt is a betting exchange, like a stock market. Donald Trump is +150, and Michelle Obama is +1600. I only estimated betting market prices for nine candidates who had robust markets at both exchanges. Global Traffic Rank. Gov. Alternatively, they could hold onto the shares until after Election Day and get paid out $1 per share for a. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The Washington Post reported that PredictIt spokesman Will Jennings said the site was accurate 70 to 80 percent of the time, although it was difficult to make a “blanket accuracy assessment, given the variety of markets. PredictItCloud Era Prediction Markets: policy and public interest prediction markets like PredictIt gained traction in the early 2010’s, presumably in the advent of the cloud, along with sci-fi markets like SciCast. electoral-vote. The site is an excellent alternative or complement to online political betting markets. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. Preprocess data and chose optimal parameters of prediction. It’s not like PredictIt is happy about this. Register Now. District Court for the Western District of Texas asking the Commodity. PredictItPredictIt is a site where Americans can wager on the outcomes of political events, with an exemption from the US Government as the data is used for academic research. Visit PredictIt Insight to learn from the wisdom of the crowd and make smarter bets on the future. PredictIt (prediction market, $850 limit per contract, commission 10% of net winnings per market + 5% of total withdrawal amount) Crypto (unregulated, act accordingly): FTX (betting exchange, 0. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has revoked a letter it sent last year to PredictIt organizers that vacated its. PredictIt is a relatively new site, and, frankly, it looks at best eerily similar to online gambling and at worst like outright fraud, yet another ‘get rich quick scheme. is on the verge of being shut down—even though studies suggest that such markets may predict elections better than polls do. Steve Bittenbender. Election odds currently have Joe Biden at +138. Follow PredictIt Political Analysis to get a deeper understanding of how the markets react to the news and what. com. Books we like: "Give Me A Break" By John Stossel "Signal and the Noise" By Nate Silver "The Scout Mindset" By Julia Galef "Radical" 4: Investment Interest Rate/Time Value of Money. A twitter rando with little identifying information is taking credit (edit: account just went private after complaining of harassment from Predictit users so tweet is unlinkable now, was@tnim__), claiming he lobbied for it as an act of revenge for Predictit banning him years ago. Like all prediction markets, traditional or otherwise, the PredictIt shows Biden as the favorite to win. 44 billion between 2022 and 2027, according to Technavio's latest market research report. The U. PredictItPredictIt Political Analysis is a blog that offers insights and commentary on the latest trends and events in politics and prediction markets. Betfair: +750 for Democrats, -2500 for Republicans. However, PredictIt is expected to liquidate its event contracts by February 15, 2023. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. Please feel free suggest more sites in the comments section and they will be added to the list. Washington, DC, 20003, United States. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. The PredictIt exchange is similar to a stock exchange, where traders can buy or sell up until the event in question – such as the 2024 presidential election – concludes. Looking for brands like Predictit? We've researched the 8 top alternatives to Predictit and summarized the best options here in this Predictit competitors grid. PredictIt, a popular political. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. Even if the CFTC follows through on its initial decision to shut the site down, it’s hard not to feel that PredictIt has, in some more. org, down from a 2020 high of 57 percent in late. Data. Using artificial intelligence, predictIT automatically generates overviews and insights that helps the Project Manager to manage the project. PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. PredictIt and Windy are two websites that allow users to predict the outcome of various events. Cicada: Mar 2019 #1: You made a claim , followed by " I don't know if it's true" Talking Tom: Mar 2019 #3: Betting sites have proven validity. If each party holds 50 seats after the 2022 election, Democrats will control the Senate. DETROW: John Aristotle Phillips is PredictIt's CEO. PredictIt injunction kept political betting site open The Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fired back last week in an appeal proceeding at light speed over whether the popular election betting prediction site PredictIt will close, at least temporarily, on February 15 at 11:59 PM. So even though it seems like our investment costs $1. PredictIt currently charges a 10% fee on profits made by buying and selling shares to cover the site's operating costs, and there is an $850 limit on how much of any one contract a person can hold. Windy is a prediction platform that allows users to make predictions on a. [1] On the ethics of insider trading. 3. Bet sizes are limited. Directory of sites Login Contact Support. Simple example of using predictit as a python library and function arguments. Federal regulators want to kill Predictit, the website that lets you bet on political outcomes. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). After betting big on the past two presidential elections — he lost his. A maximum of $850 in betting per person per contract ( not per market) A substantial house cut of 10% on profits and 5% on withdrawals. We do this to. Participants buy shares in an outcome, like who will win a Senate race, for between 1 and 99 cents. electoral-vote. # 108,710 6,054. . Books we like: "Give Me A Break" By John Stossel "Signal and the Noise" By Nate Silver "The Scout Mindset" By Julia Galef "Radical" By Maajid Nawaz "In Order To Live" By Yeonmi Park: About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minutePredictItFor its part, PredictIt “maintains that all open markets are within the terms of the . Like Miller, many of the top speculators on PredictIt are political junkies who win money with a mix of savvy and speed. 3: Polls. Predictit 's alternatives and competitors. 2: The media pundits. 85. Snyk Vulnerability Scanner. A larger, rival betting site, Kalshi, which takes bets on things like inflation rates and the price of gasoline, now wants to take election bets, too. Link Copied! The US government is trying to shut down PredictIt, a website that allows gambling on US elections. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). [4] The market was initially launched on 3 November 2014. - GitHub - Malachov/predictit: Library/framework for making predictions. 2. S. Who will win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination? PredictIt is a prediction market that lets you bet on the outcome of political events. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the outcome of US elections and political events. org, you can try to predict political events and win money while doing so. You can browse various categories, such as presidential, congressional, state and local races, and see the latest prices and trends. The top traffic source to marginalrevolution. This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. Yes! Presidential prediction markets – and all prediction markets across most industries (i. Compare your predictions with other traders and see how the market reacts to news and events. ”PredictItOn average Trump gets ~5. PredictItFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis is now the frontrunner on PredictIt for both the Republican nomination and to win the presidency in 2024. Below is a list of prediction market platforms and implementations that may be useful for futures studies. PredictIt is currently the biggest legal site for political-prediction trading in this country. Users can purchase shares of an outcome, like buying "Yes" or "No" shares of whether or not the Farm Bill will pass by June 30. Predictit's top competitors include Kalshi, Consensus Point, and Augur. package health package health 47/100 47/100. . Pennsylvania: John Fetterman vs. The Top 10 Sites Like predictit. Your global no limit betting exchange. org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. “PredictIt staff are working. Political betting site fights regulators. frameor tibble, as returned by all_markets() or single_market. Menu Discover the full list of predictit. No. Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market. John Aristotle Phillips founded PredictIt, a website that lets traders bet on the outcomes of political events. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. PredictItBy Jacob Stern. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Similar Sites & predictit. While markets like PredictIt meet the demand of those who want to speculate on political outcomes, they also accommodate businesses that seek to hedge against adverse consequences from such outcomes. PredictItThis isn’t the first time the CFTC has come down on markets like PredictIt. A screen capture of PredictIt. Copy Markdown Copy reStructuredText. And just like in Las Vegas for the NFL Championship, there will be plenty of proposition wagering available. , a U. Forecastr. Our Customers. ). elections, Congress, or Supreme Court, you can find the hottest markets and see how the odds change in real time. The site launched legally late 2014 in the U. [+] Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) fill orders shortly before the close of trading on October 28, 2015 in Chicago, Illinois. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). “It’s not the platforms that are the policy issue,” he said. In other words, wisdom of the forecasting elite. Washington, DC, 20003, United States. To put it simply, PredictIt allows customers to trade “yes” and “no” shares on the outcomes of future political events at prices ranging from $0. S. TOP LINE Politics is full of bold, outlandish predictions. org - Top 45 predictit. Posted onAugust 5, 2022 by Yves Smith. The global gambling market size is set to grow by USD 260. 3 million shares traded on Wednesday morning, according to PredictIt. Only seats rated safe by all are shown as 'safe' for the incumbent party. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Find Predictit's. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. PredictIt is a stock market-style prediction platform that allows users to “buy” and “sell” shares in events, with the value of their shares determined by the likelihood of the event occurring. 65 at PredictIt. hide. The agency rejected a 2012 proposal by the North American Derivatives Exchange (NADE) on the basis that the proposed. S. PredictIt is structurally inefficient. trustworthiness, child safety measures, traffic rank, similar websites, server location, WHOIS data, and more. PredictIt is a site where Americans can wager on the outcomes of political events, with an exemption from the US Government as the data is used for academic research. Do not assume that Internet gaming sites are in compliance with the rules and regulations of every jurisdiction from which they accept players. On the 2022 campaign trail he once joked in. Introduction. After the market resolves, redeem your winning shares for $1 each. Suppose you’re a manufacturer operating in today’s marketplace. PredictIt. " In November 2019, the site had 200,000 subscribers and 3,000 active traders each day. New Predictit jobs added daily. PredictIt Insight is a platform that offers data-driven insights on politics and prediction markets. To put it simply, PredictIt allows customers to trade “yes” and “no” shares on the outcomes of future political events at prices ranging from $0. provider of data processing and verification services. Discover the full list of predictit. org. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. And the best part? The community is made up of hilarious, quirky individuals just like us! So, in my shilling and humble opinion, Polkamarkets trumps Kalshi any day 😜 Reply reply itztomlandlord • Kalshi and PredictIt are both great platforms for participating in prediction. It reads:PredictIt, a nonprofit exchange that limits speculation to $850 per event, is the most accessible site for Americans. Scoring Midterm Election Forecasts Performance metrics for PredictIt, FiveThirtyEight, and Manifold MarketsPredictItNo. 5,646. com is the website with the highest similarity score to predictit. 9. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. C. org Competitors. Betfair, which this site uses, does not have that problem; their odds add up to about 100%. The Top 10 Sites Like predictit. Because of the market's structure, smart money cannot (given the first two reasons) or will not (given the third reason) fix all. Likewise, if other prediction markets like Augur or Predictious take off, I will include those. Deposit $80 when you open your account and PredictIt will deposit an additional $80. More From DraftKings Network. Free mathematical football predictions and scores for today matches. The models for PredictIt and PolyMarket differ significantly from overseas betting on politics. Reply [-] rossry 4y 7. It’s Friday and these are the insights we’ve been keeping an eye on this week. ” PredictIt, the political. # 1. 6%: $882,927. That’s an essential reprieve with the original Feb 15 shutdown deadline now less than three weeks away. On Jan 18, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans laid out a timeline for the case. 07% take fee) FAIRLAY (betting exchange, variable complex commission structure, 0. Analyze websites like predictit. 7-66. Kalsi asked the CFTC for permission. Founder & CEO John Aristotle Phillips. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic. Though PredictIt comes across as quiz show meets Caesars Palace sportsbook, the five-year-old site doesn’t have bookies and oddsmakers like the sports gambling parlors that populate Las Vegas or. Buy Bitcoin in Europe. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of Wellington [2] with support from Aristotle, Inc. 01 to $0. One such website was PredictIt, which offered punters the opportunity to place bets on the outcomes of political events. Less than one year after committing to PredictIt full time, Rainbow Jeremy is on the top of the heap, making between $15,000 and $25,000 a month betting on congressional elections and Trump’s. 07:13. 15. . PredictIt, which has been provided by Victoria University of Wellington since. Predictit - Arizona Senate Race. There are two problems here. This article is for subscribers only. PredictIt market in Minnesota See also: PredictIt markets in the 2020 presidential election What is a PredictIt market?. ’. org)Wrapper function to apply HTML formatting to ’PredictIt’ market data. users in February, according to an order from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Getty; The Atlantic. 88 for Republicans to win. Advertisement Harry Crane is a professor of statistics at Rutgers.